Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Appraisals Setting Market Values? New Trend?

There's always a first.  First closing, first fall-through, first family transaction...you get the picture.  There's always a first and usually it's not the last, just an indicator of things to come or a flashing warning sign of things to never involve yourself in again.  Sometimes you see the red flags and despite years of experience, you fail to heed them.  Surely, you think to yourself, this can't be what it seems.  Well, usually it is.  Walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, again, you get it.

Because I deal with clients from all over the world, I have learned that past real estate experiences in other locations tend to color the transaction that the client and I are currently involved in.  Sometimes good, sometimes bad.  Poor market conditions, including a glut of inventory, plummeting prices and poor professional guidance can create negative residual reactions for future transactions.  Stay with me.
Poor market conditions in another state, coupled with life-decisions being made regarding retirement and downsizing made my buyers paranoid about real estate values and rightfully so.  Their home, a once stable investment, did not quite bring what they felt it should in today's market, leaving them with a sour taste in their mouths.  Per our conversations, their real estate guidance back home was non-existent.  When I asked questions about marketing, contingencies, financing options, etc. they looked at me as if I were speaking parseltongue. 

Fast forward...we find a house here that meet their needs and is in the price point that they would like to be in.  We have viewed over 50 homes in the past year while their home has been on the market, always toying with the idea of buying before the current home sold.  Now that it was under contract, time was of the essence in regards to finding a place for them to rest their heads.  Now keep in mind, we have viewed tons of homes in a variety of areas, all similar in spatial needs and between a certain range.  We have now located one, which according to my past experience, should mean that this is the best home that the buyer has seen, in regards to condition, location and pricing...(that's how homes make it to number one on a buyers' list).

Time to make an offer.  Rather than sit down and look at comparable homes that are active (we have seen all of these) or take an in depth look at similar homes sold in the past 90 days, these folks ask for an appraisal.  Wow!  Didn't see that coming!  I am used to negotiating a price based on what the buyer and seller feel the home is worth in today's market, getting it under contract at terms everyone can live with and then "verifying" the price and terms with a certified appraisal.  This seemed all backwards--but was it?

The question that I am taking away from this experience is multi-faceted...Who sets the price? What is happening to fair market value in an era of government regulated loans and appraisals?  Since when did buyers and sellers not feel like they have the information to make decisions without being dictated by a third party who knows nothing of their personal needs and real estate desires? 

The biggest problem I see with this "new" direction is the lack of comparable homes that appraisers have to work with.  If there are not three similar homes sold in the past 90 days then appraisers are digging to find homes that are close in proximity but may be quite different for a variety of reasons.  You may say "well they are going to have to do it for the bank appraisal anyway" and you are right, but its funny that once a sales price is set between buyer and seller, unless it is way off base, comps are usually found and adjusted accordingly.  It's this "pull a value out of the air" using any homes that the appraiser may personally deem reasonable, that I am trying to wrap my mind around.

So the question begs to be asked...What are your thoughts on pre-appraisals and do you see this as something you would consider doing or is the notion that you are buying the best house out there for you and your family's needs enough to base price on?

Until Then...

Brooke

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